As far as the applications perspective of
semiconductor lighting is concerned, we unanimously optimistic about
the long-term development,the penetration of the LED lighting market will continue to rise in
2016 and is likely to exceed 50% and will further grow after 2020, there may be
more than 70 %. Among them, energy conservation and technology economy will
become two important factor that drivers this trend.
Currently, the high cost is still the obstacle
to large-scale promotion of semiconductor lighting products, but the prices of LED
is steadily falling, according to our some experience in international and
domestic markets as well as the customer and market feedback, we analyze that
if the price of such products that is similar to LED Bulb can reach 1.5 times of
energy-saving lamps l, the amount of promoting can be greatly improved, in
short, when the price reaches 1.5 times of the energy-saving lamps, we can
replace half of these traditional sources. Currently the price of energy-saving
lamps have been very cheap, Is it possible to reach the price for LED lighting?
Or when it can reach? It is possible to achieve this price level, which is
expected to be achieved in 2015, 2016 years.
We can see the price of LED is quickly down
the last two years, which is just probably half of the two years ago, prices
will continue to decline next two years, for the LED lighting structure, so the
cost of the drive and structure is possibility down,which will be very close to the
cost of energy-saving lamps in 2020. However, LED prices’ falling does neither mean
that it will destroy the industry's value, nor result in the industry becoming
smaller, because the
lighting section has great potential for development, LED lighting technology
is different with the traditional,it offers free design to the lighting design and has great design
potential and market potential. In addition to traditional forms of lighting,
there will be set integration, more kinetic energy, intelligent control and
other multifunction product in the future, for the time being referred to as
"LED Lighting complex." This product is definitely unlike traditional
lighting, although the alternative stage it the same as those of the
traditional lighting products, but just like "car era, do not in
accordance with the carriage to design", as its future appearance
will be unlike the current awareness of traditional lamps and bound to be
beyond our imagination.
Viewing form the development of LED lighting
market, with the
innovation and development of LED lighting, the market will not be reduced but
will be greatly increased. 2014-2015 will be a period of rapid growth in
alternative markets, but reach a certain stage, the market growth rate will
gradually decline. Then "LED lighting complex" collecting a variety
of functions makes the market value is greatly expanded. This period will
experience a substantial increase in cost, enhancements, there will be the initially
market norms and standards in the process, along with the development of future
innovation and digitization, nowadays,we can not conclusive what LED would be like
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